USD/CHF (Monthly Wave Analysis, September, 2007)


for example, forex

Introduction


Reversal and price movement, supposed in Monthly-0807 was forming in accordance with the forecast. The result is given in Figure C1.

Figure C1. Final daily chart of August forecast, 2007.
Figure C1. Final daily chart of August forecast, 2007.

For illustrative purposes schematic forecast of CHF movement a month ago is given in the chart.


Current variant of wave counting


For survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual-07(2) and article Let's Analyse Zigzag Wave Construction.

Figure C2. Wave counting on the weekly chart. Variant 3-alt2.
Figure C2. Wave counting on the weekly chart. Variant 3-alt2.

According to variant 3-alt2 forming of the downward wave (B) is not completed yet, currently supposed wave X of (B) is forming in the shape of the skewed triangle or another extended horizontal correction that will be specified by the depth of the final wave [e] of X (see tables 3-1 and 3-2 of my book).

Figure C3. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3-alt2.
Figure C3. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3-alt2.

Supposedly at the present moment upward double zigzag [e] of X is forming. By the end of September is may reach 1.25 mark.

At the same time wave [d] of X completion is not confirmed yet, that is why the alternate scenario should be also taken into account (see the next chart).

Figure C4. Wave counting on the daily chart. Local alternate scenario of variant 3-alt2.
Figure C4. Wave counting on the daily chart. Local alternate scenario of variant 3-alt2.

Within the local alternate variant downward wave [d] of X may keep forming simultaneously with the alternate variants of the other currency pairs.

For more detailed wave counting on smaller time-frames and parameters of possible trading plans refer to daily reports.

Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com

September 2, 2007

When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari IDC Corp. is obligatory.




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