EUR/USD Monthly Wave Analysis, June 2008


for example, forex

The current variant of wave counting


For survey wave counting of EUR refer to The Review of the Bigger Time-Frames (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008) and the article The review of the bigger Time-Frames (II quarter of 2008).

Figure E1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3.
Figure E1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3.

In order scenario v.3, considered in the article The Review of the Bigger Time-Frames (Annual Wave Analysis, 2008) and Monthly-0508, confirm its right to exist the price has to complete the upward wave (v) of [v] in the form of an impulse or a diagonal triangle.

Taking into consideration the depth of correction ii of (v) of [v], proximity of the critical level and downward impulsive direction of the price at the present the alternate scenario also considered in the article The review of the bigger Time-Frames (II quarter of 2008) seems to be the most probable..

Figure E2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-a.
Figure E2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-a.

In the framework of scenario 3-a the downward correction may develop to the 1.50 mark in the form of a single zigzag.

Figure E3. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3-a.
Figure E3. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 3-a.

Figure E4. Wave counting on the weekly chart. Variant 3-a.
Figure E4. Wave counting on the weekly chart. Variant 3-a.

Taking into consideration its sizes relative to the adjacent waves of the upward impulse we may suppose that corrective wave 4 of (3) of [C] is forming. This wave four may reach 38% depth without breaking the critical level (the terminus of wave 1 of (3) of [C]) and guideline of alternation.

Projected values for the terminus of wave (3) of [C] should be specified only after wave 4 of (3) of [C] completes.

For more detailed wave counting on smaller time-frames and parameters of possible trading plans refer to daily reports.

Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com

May 31, 2008

When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.




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