EUR/USD (Monthly Wave Analysis, October 2008)


for example, forex

The current variant of the wave counting


For survey wave counting of EUR refer to The Review of the Bigger Time-Frames (IV quarter of 2008).
Figure E1. Wave counting on the weekly chart. Variant 3-dz.
Figure E1. Wave counting on the weekly chart. Variant 3-dz.

In the framework of scenario 3-dz the supposed correction [X] may be presented in the form of downward zigzag A-B-C of (A) of [X]. If this is the case at the moment possible variants of the completion of corrective wave B of (A), given below, are of special interest.

Figure E2. Wave counting on 480 min chart.
Figure E2. Wave counting on 480 min chart.

The supposed wave B of (A) may be assuming the shape of narrow upward double or triple zigzag [w]-[x]-[y]-[x]-[z] of B. In this case the rise of price will continue in the borders of the trend channel and may reach the depth of 78%.

Figure E3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.
Figure E3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Possible alternate.

If the price fixes under the lower border of the current trend channel we may speak either of the completion of wave B of (A) (it is marked in the chart with grey), or of the further development of wave B of (A) in the form of a horizontal construction (flat, double three or an extended horizontal correction).

Figure E4. Wave counting on the weekly chart. Possible alternate.
Figure E4. Wave counting on the weekly chart. Possible alternate.

At the same time a variant in the framework of which wave [X] is completed already, isn’t ruled out. But its relatively small depth and duration don’t allow bringing this scenario to the forefront.

For more detailed wave counting on smaller time-frames and parameters of possible trading plans refer to daily reports.

Reference


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com

September 28, 2008

When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.




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