Fundamental Analysis

Monday, 6 october 2008 years

Time (MSK)	Country	Period	Index	Forecast	Previews Reading	Importance	Posible Impact on the Currency Rate
16:30	CAD	Aug	Building permits	-1.5%	+1.8%	2	Forecast: CAD → Above forecast: CAD ↑ Below forecast: CAD ↓
18:00	CAD	Sep	Ivey Purchasing Mgrs Index	51	51.5	2	Forecast: CAD → Above forecast: CAD ↑ Below forecast: CAD ↓

Tuesday, 7 october 2008 years

Time (MSK)	Country	Period	Index	Forecast	Previews Reading	Importance	Posible Impact on the Currency Rate
07:30	JP		Bank of Japan - Japan Monetary Policy Meeting decision	0.50%	0.50%	3	Forecast: JPY → Above forecast: JPY ↑↑ Below forecast: JPY ↓↓
07:30	AUD		Reserve Bank of Australia - Australian cash rate decision	6.50%	7.00%	3	Forecast: AUD ↓ Above forecast: AUD ↑↑ Below forecast: AUD ↓↓
12:30	GBR	Aug	Industrial production	-0.2% m/m, -1.9% y/y	-0.4% m/m, -1.9% y/y	2	Forecast: GBP → Above forecast: GBP ↑ Below forecast: GBP ↓
17:00	USA		IMF releases Global Financial Stability Report in Washington, D.C.			2	Forecast: USD → Above forecast: USD ??? Below forecast: USD ???
17:30	EU		ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet to give a speech at the World Policy Conference, in Evian, France.			2	Forecast: EUR → Above forecast: EUR ??? Below forecast: EUR ???
21:15	USA		Bernanke speech on US economy and financial markets, Washigton.			3	Forecast: USD → Above forecast: USD ??? Below forecast: USD ???

Wednesday, 8 october 2008 years

Time (MSK)	Country	Period	Index	Forecast	Previews Reading	Importance	Posible Impact on the Currency Rate
05:30	AUD	Aug	Housing Finance	-1.0%	-0.2%	2	Forecast: AUD → Above forecast: AUD ↑ Below forecast: AUD ↓
13:00	EU	2Q-08	GDP (2nd details)	-0.2% q/q, 1.4% y/y	-0.2% q/q, 1.4% y/y	2	Forecast: EUR → Above forecast: EUR ↑ Below forecast: EUR ↓
14:00	GER	Aug	Industrial output	-0.3% m/m, -2.8% y/y	-1.8% m/m, -0.6% y/y	2	Forecast: EUR → Above forecast: EUR ↑ Below forecast: EUR ↓
18:00	USA	Aug	NAR Pending Home Sales	-1.1%	-3.2%	2	Forecast: USD → Above forecast: USD ↑ Below forecast: USD ↓

Thursday, 9 october 2008 years

Time (MSK)	Country	Period	Index	Forecast	Previews Reading	Importance	Posible Impact on the Currency Rate
05:30	AUD	Sep	Unemployment Rate	4.3%	4.1%	3	Forecast: AUD → Above forecast: AUD ↑ Below forecast: AUD ↓
10:00	GER	Aug	Current account NSA	+Е9.0 bln	+Е11.8 bln	2	Forecast: EUR → Above forecast: EUR ↑ Below forecast: EUR ↓
12:30	GBR	Aug	World Trade In Goods	-stg7.6 bln	-stg7.667bln	2	Forecast: GBP → Above forecast: GBP ↑ Below forecast: GBP ↓
16:30	USA	04-Oct	Jobless Claims	475K	497K	2	Forecast: USD ??? Above forecast: USD ↓ Below forecast: USD ↑

Friday, 10 october 2008 years

Time (MSK)	Country	Period	Index	Forecast	Previews Reading	Importance	Posible Impact on the Currency Rate
15:00	CAD	Sep	Unemployment rate	6.2%	Unch at 6.1%	3	Forecast: CAD → Above forecast: CAD ↓ Below forecast: CAD ↑
16:30	USA	Aug	Intl Trade Balance	-$59.3 bn	-$62.2 bn	2	Forecast: USD ??? Above forecast: USD ↑ Below forecast: USD ↓
16:30	CAD	Aug	Intl merchandise trade	+C$4.7 bn	+C$4.851 bn	2	Forecast: CAD → Above forecast: CAD ↑ Below forecast: CAD ↓

Note:

1. Readings above the forecast are those readings, which are mathematically more than the forecast (e.g. 5%is more than 4.3% and -49 is more than -51).
   Readings below the forecast are readings, which are mathematically less than the forecast (e.g. 4.1% is less than 4.3% and -60 is less than -51).
2. Fundamental analysis is purely informational purpose only. It always consists of several possible trends.
3. Importance degrees have been specified on study of economic factors impact on the currency rate during several years.
4. Importance degree of this or that indicator can vary depending on the market situation and market speculations.
5. Possible impact on the currency rate shall mean most probable prices movement once the data are released. Some other prices behaviour is also possible.
6. In the Note most important moments, which may have impact on the trader's decision, are specified.