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Fundamental Analysis

Fundamental Analysis

for example, forex

Monday, 10 november 2008 years

Time (MSK) Country Period Index Forecast Previews Reading Importance Posible Impact
on the Currency Rate
03:30 AUD
Австралия		    Reserve Bank Quarterly Monetary Policy Statement 2 Forecast: AUD →
Above forecast: AUD ???
Below forecast: AUD ???
03:30 AUD
Австралия		  Sep  Home Loans -2.8% -2.2% 2 Forecast: AUD →
Above forecast: AUD ↑
Below forecast: AUD ↓
12:30 GBR
Великобритания		  Oct  PPI (Output) -0.4% m/m, 7.4% y/y -0.3% m/m, 8.5% y/y 2 Forecast: GBP →
Above forecast: GBP ↓
Below forecast: GBP ↑
16:15 CAD
Канада		  Oct  Housing Starts 200.0K 217.6K 2 Forecast: CAD →
Above forecast: CAD ↑
Below forecast: CAD ↓
1 — This index release may have no impact on the currency rate
2 — This index release may impact the currency during 1 session at most
3 — This index release may reveal daily, weekly or even monthly trends
→ — This index (positive) release will not impact the currency rate
↑ — This index (positive) release will trigger increase in the currency rate
↓ — This index (positive) release will trigger decrease in the currency rate
↓↓ — This index release may trigger abrupt fall of the currency rate
↑↑ — This index release (positive) may trigger abrupt rise of the currency rate
? — It is difficult to forecast price movement once the data are released (often it happens before releases of the Central banks communiques and economic reports (Beige Book (USA), Tankan (JAPAN), etc.)

Tuesday, 11 november 2008 years

Time (MSK) Country Period Index Forecast Previews Reading Importance Posible Impact
on the Currency Rate
12:30 GBR
Великобритания		  Sep  Trade in goods -stg8.0 bln -stg8.2 bln 2 Forecast: GBP →
Above forecast: GBP ↑
Below forecast: GBP ↓
13:00 GER
Германия		  Nov  ZEW economic expectations index -62.0 -63.0 2 Forecast: EUR →
Above forecast: EUR ↑
Below forecast: EUR ↓
1 — This index release may have no impact on the currency rate
2 — This index release may impact the currency during 1 session at most
3 — This index release may reveal daily, weekly or even monthly trends
→ — This index (positive) release will not impact the currency rate
↑ — This index (positive) release will trigger increase in the currency rate
↓ — This index (positive) release will trigger decrease in the currency rate
↓↓ — This index release may trigger abrupt fall of the currency rate
↑↑ — This index release (positive) may trigger abrupt rise of the currency rate
? — It is difficult to forecast price movement once the data are released (often it happens before releases of the Central banks communiques and economic reports (Beige Book (USA), Tankan (JAPAN), etc.)

Wednesday, 12 november 2008 years

Time (MSK) Country Period Index Forecast Previews Reading Importance Posible Impact
on the Currency Rate
12:30 GBR
Великобритания		  Oct  Claimant count rate 3.0% 2.9% 2 Forecast: GBP →
Above forecast: GBP ↑
Below forecast: GBP ↓
13:00 EU
Еврозона		  Sep  Industrial production -1.6% m/m, -1.2% y/y 1.1% m/m, -0.7% y/y 2 Forecast: EUR →
Above forecast: EUR ↑
Below forecast: EUR ↓
13:30 GBR
Великобритания		    BoE quarterly inflation report 3 Forecast: GBP →
Above forecast: GBP ???
Below forecast: GBP ???
1 — This index release may have no impact on the currency rate
2 — This index release may impact the currency during 1 session at most
3 — This index release may reveal daily, weekly or even monthly trends
→ — This index (positive) release will not impact the currency rate
↑ — This index (positive) release will trigger increase in the currency rate
↓ — This index (positive) release will trigger decrease in the currency rate
↓↓ — This index release may trigger abrupt fall of the currency rate
↑↑ — This index release (positive) may trigger abrupt rise of the currency rate
? — It is difficult to forecast price movement once the data are released (often it happens before releases of the Central banks communiques and economic reports (Beige Book (USA), Tankan (JAPAN), etc.)

Thursday, 13 november 2008 years

Time (MSK) Country Period Index Forecast Previews Reading Importance Posible Impact
on the Currency Rate
07:30 JP
Япония		  Sep  Industrial output 1.2% 1.2% 2 Forecast: JPY →
Above forecast: JPY ↑
Below forecast: JPY ↓
10:00 GER
Германия		  3Q- 2008   GDP (Q3) flash -0.2% q/q, 1.0% y/y -0.5% q/q, 1.7% y/y 3 Forecast: EUR ???
Above forecast: EUR ↑↑
Below forecast: EUR ↓↓
16:30 CAD
Канада		  Sep  Int'l Merchandise Trade C$4.9 bn C$5.8 bn 2 Forecast: CAD →
Above forecast: CAD ↑
Below forecast: CAD ↓
16:30 USA
США		  Sep  International trade -usd57.0 bln -usd59.1 bln 3 Forecast: USD →
Above forecast: USD ↑
Below forecast: USD ↓
16:30 USA
США		  08-Nov   Jobless claims 480K 481K 2 Forecast: USD →
Above forecast: USD ↑
Below forecast: USD ↓
1 — This index release may have no impact on the currency rate
2 — This index release may impact the currency during 1 session at most
3 — This index release may reveal daily, weekly or even monthly trends
→ — This index (positive) release will not impact the currency rate
↑ — This index (positive) release will trigger increase in the currency rate
↓ — This index (positive) release will trigger decrease in the currency rate
↓↓ — This index release may trigger abrupt fall of the currency rate
↑↑ — This index release (positive) may trigger abrupt rise of the currency rate
? — It is difficult to forecast price movement once the data are released (often it happens before releases of the Central banks communiques and economic reports (Beige Book (USA), Tankan (JAPAN), etc.)

Friday, 14 november 2008 years

Time (MSK) Country Period Index Forecast Previews Reading Importance Posible Impact
on the Currency Rate
13:00 EU
Еврозона		  3Q-2008  GDP (Q3) flash -0.2% q/q, 0.7% y/y -0.2% q/q, 1.4% y/y 3 Forecast: EUR →
Above forecast: EUR ↑
Below forecast: EUR ↓↓
13:00 EU
Еврозона		  Oct  Harmonized CPI 3.2% 3.6% 2 Forecast: EUR →
Above forecast: EUR ↑
Below forecast: EUR ↓
16:30 USA
США		    Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks 3 Forecast: USD →
Above forecast: USD ???
Below forecast: USD ???
16:30 USA
США		  Oct  Retail sales -2.1% -1.2% 2 Forecast: USD →
Above forecast: USD ↑
Below forecast: USD ↓
17:55 USA
США		  Nov  Michigan sentiment index 56.3 57.6 2 Forecast: USD →
Above forecast: USD ↑
Below forecast: USD ↓
1 — This index release may have no impact on the currency rate
2 — This index release may impact the currency during 1 session at most
3 — This index release may reveal daily, weekly or even monthly trends
→ — This index (positive) release will not impact the currency rate
↑ — This index (positive) release will trigger increase in the currency rate
↓ — This index (positive) release will trigger decrease in the currency rate
↓↓ — This index release may trigger abrupt fall of the currency rate
↑↑ — This index release (positive) may trigger abrupt rise of the currency rate
? — It is difficult to forecast price movement once the data are released (often it happens before releases of the Central banks communiques and economic reports (Beige Book (USA), Tankan (JAPAN), etc.)

Note:

  1. Readings above the forecast are those readings, which are mathematically more than the forecast (e.g. 5%is more than 4.3% and -49 is more than -51).
    Readings below the forecast are readings, which are mathematically less than the forecast (e.g. 4.1% is less than 4.3% and -60 is less than -51).
  2. Fundamental analysis is purely informational purpose only. It always consists of several possible trends.
  3. Importance degrees have been specified on study of economic factors impact on the currency rate during several years.
  4. Importance degree of this or that indicator can vary depending on the market situation and market speculations.
  5. Possible impact on the currency rate shall mean most probable prices movement once the data are released. Some other prices behaviour is also possible.
  6. In the Note most important moments, which may have impact on the trader's decision, are specified.
 

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