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Fundamental Analysis

Fundamental Analysis

for example, forex

Monday, 17 november 2008 years

Time (MSK) Country Period Index Forecast Previews Reading Importance Posible Impact
on the Currency Rate
02:50 JP
Япония		  3Q-08  Gross Domestic Product 0.0% -0.7% 3 Forecast: JPY →
Above forecast: JPY ↑
Below forecast: JPY ↓
03:30 AUD
Австралия		  3Q-08  Retail Sales Ex Inflation 0.4% -0.6% 2 Forecast: AUD →
Above forecast: AUD ↑
Below forecast: AUD ↓
13:00 EU
Еврозона		  Sep  Euro-Zone Trade Balance sa -Е5.7 bln -Е6.1bln 2 Forecast: EUR →
Above forecast: EUR ↑
Below forecast: EUR ↓
16:30 USA
США		  Nov   Empire Manufacturing -26.1 -24.6 2 Forecast: USD →
Above forecast: USD ↑
Below forecast: USD ↓
17:15 USA
США		  Oct  Industrial Production 0.2% -2.8% 2 Forecast: USD →
Above forecast: USD ↑
Below forecast: USD ↓
1 — This index release may have no impact on the currency rate
2 — This index release may impact the currency during 1 session at most
3 — This index release may reveal daily, weekly or even monthly trends
→ — This index (positive) release will not impact the currency rate
↑ — This index (positive) release will trigger increase in the currency rate
↓ — This index (positive) release will trigger decrease in the currency rate
↓↓ — This index release may trigger abrupt fall of the currency rate
↑↑ — This index release (positive) may trigger abrupt rise of the currency rate
? — It is difficult to forecast price movement once the data are released (often it happens before releases of the Central banks communiques and economic reports (Beige Book (USA), Tankan (JAPAN), etc.)

Tuesday, 18 november 2008 years

Time (MSK) Country Period Index Forecast Previews Reading Importance Posible Impact
on the Currency Rate
03:30 AUD
Австралия		    Reserve Bank's Board November Minutes 2 Forecast: AUD →
Above forecast: AUD ???
Below forecast: AUD ???
11:15 CH
Швейцария		  Sep  Retail Sales 0.0% 0.0% 2 Forecast: CHF →
Above forecast: CHF ↑
Below forecast: CHF ↓
12:30 GBR
Великобритания		  Oct  CPI 0.1% m/m, 4.8% y/y 0.5% m/m, 5.2% y/y 3 Forecast: GBP ???
Above forecast: GBP ↑
Below forecast: GBP ↓
16:30 USA
США		  Oct  PPI -1.8% -0.4% 2 Forecast: USD →
Above forecast: USD ↑
Below forecast: USD ↓
17:00 USA
США		  Sep  TICS $18 bln $14 bln 3 Forecast: USD →
Above forecast: USD ↑
Below forecast: USD ↓
17:30 USA
США		    Fed Chairman Bernanke and Treasury Sec Paulson Speaks 3 Forecast: USD →
Above forecast: USD ???
Below forecast: USD ???
21:00 USA
США		  Nov   NAHB Housing Market Index 14 14 1 Forecast: USD ???
Above forecast: USD ↑
Below forecast: USD ↓
1 — This index release may have no impact on the currency rate
2 — This index release may impact the currency during 1 session at most
3 — This index release may reveal daily, weekly or even monthly trends
→ — This index (positive) release will not impact the currency rate
↑ — This index (positive) release will trigger increase in the currency rate
↓ — This index (positive) release will trigger decrease in the currency rate
↓↓ — This index release may trigger abrupt fall of the currency rate
↑↑ — This index release (positive) may trigger abrupt rise of the currency rate
? — It is difficult to forecast price movement once the data are released (often it happens before releases of the Central banks communiques and economic reports (Beige Book (USA), Tankan (JAPAN), etc.)

Wednesday, 19 november 2008 years

Time (MSK) Country Period Index Forecast Previews Reading Importance Posible Impact
on the Currency Rate
12:30 GBR
Великобритания		    Bank of England Minutes 3 Forecast: GBP →
Above forecast: GBP ???
Below forecast: GBP ???
16:30 USA
США		  Oct  Building permits 0.775 mln 0.786 mln 2 Forecast: USD →
Above forecast: USD ↑
Below forecast: USD ↓
16:30 USA
США		  Oct  Housing starts 0.785 mln 0.817 mln 2 Forecast: USD →
Above forecast: USD ↑
Below forecast: USD ↓
16:30 USA
США		  Oct  CPI -0.7% 0.0% 3 Forecast: USD ???
Above forecast: USD ↑
Below forecast: USD ↓
22:00 USA
США		    FOMC meeting minutes (28-29.10) 3 Forecast: USD →
Above forecast: USD ???
Below forecast: USD ???
1 — This index release may have no impact on the currency rate
2 — This index release may impact the currency during 1 session at most
3 — This index release may reveal daily, weekly or even monthly trends
→ — This index (positive) release will not impact the currency rate
↑ — This index (positive) release will trigger increase in the currency rate
↓ — This index (positive) release will trigger decrease in the currency rate
↓↓ — This index release may trigger abrupt fall of the currency rate
↑↑ — This index release (positive) may trigger abrupt rise of the currency rate
? — It is difficult to forecast price movement once the data are released (often it happens before releases of the Central banks communiques and economic reports (Beige Book (USA), Tankan (JAPAN), etc.)

Thursday, 20 november 2008 years

Time (MSK) Country Period Index Forecast Previews Reading Importance Posible Impact
on the Currency Rate
10:00 GER
Германия		  Oct  PPI -0.6% m/m, 7.3% y/y 0.3% m/m, 8.3% y/y 1 Forecast: EUR →
Above forecast: EUR ↑
Below forecast: EUR ↓
12:30 GBR
Великобритания		  Oct  Retail sales -0.9% m/m, 1.4% y/y -0.4% m/m, 1.8% y/y 2 Forecast: GBP →
Above forecast: GBP ↑
Below forecast: GBP ↓
15:00 CH
Швейцария		    Swiss SNB Libor Band 2.0% 3 Forecast: CHF →
Above forecast: CHF ???
Below forecast: CHF ???
16:30 USA
США		  15-Nov   Jobless claims 501K 516K 2 Forecast: USD →
Above forecast: USD ↑
Below forecast: USD ↓
18:00 USA
США		  Nov   Philadelphia Fed index -31.0 -37.5 2 Forecast: USD →
Above forecast: USD ↑
Below forecast: USD ???
1 — This index release may have no impact on the currency rate
2 — This index release may impact the currency during 1 session at most
3 — This index release may reveal daily, weekly or even monthly trends
→ — This index (positive) release will not impact the currency rate
↑ — This index (positive) release will trigger increase in the currency rate
↓ — This index (positive) release will trigger decrease in the currency rate
↓↓ — This index release may trigger abrupt fall of the currency rate
↑↑ — This index release (positive) may trigger abrupt rise of the currency rate
? — It is difficult to forecast price movement once the data are released (often it happens before releases of the Central banks communiques and economic reports (Beige Book (USA), Tankan (JAPAN), etc.)

Friday, 21 november 2008 years

Time (MSK) Country Period Index Forecast Previews Reading Importance Posible Impact
on the Currency Rate
06:30 JP
Япония		    BoJ meeting announcement 0.30% 0.30% 3 Forecast: JPY →
Above forecast: JPY ???
Below forecast: JPY ↓
11:30 GER
Германия		  Oct  PMI flash 42.1 42.9 2 Forecast: EUR →
Above forecast: EUR ↑
Below forecast: EUR ↓
12:00 EU
Еврозона		  Oct  PMI flash 40.5 41.1 2 Forecast: EUR →
Above forecast: EUR ↑
Below forecast: EUR ↑↑
15:00 CAD
Канада		  Oct  CPI -0.6% m/m, 3.2% y/y 0.1% m/m, 3.4% y/y 2 Forecast: CAD →
Above forecast: CAD ↑
Below forecast: CAD ↓
1 — This index release may have no impact on the currency rate
2 — This index release may impact the currency during 1 session at most
3 — This index release may reveal daily, weekly or even monthly trends
→ — This index (positive) release will not impact the currency rate
↑ — This index (positive) release will trigger increase in the currency rate
↓ — This index (positive) release will trigger decrease in the currency rate
↓↓ — This index release may trigger abrupt fall of the currency rate
↑↑ — This index release (positive) may trigger abrupt rise of the currency rate
? — It is difficult to forecast price movement once the data are released (often it happens before releases of the Central banks communiques and economic reports (Beige Book (USA), Tankan (JAPAN), etc.)

Note:

  1. Readings above the forecast are those readings, which are mathematically more than the forecast (e.g. 5%is more than 4.3% and -49 is more than -51).
    Readings below the forecast are readings, which are mathematically less than the forecast (e.g. 4.1% is less than 4.3% and -60 is less than -51).
  2. Fundamental analysis is purely informational purpose only. It always consists of several possible trends.
  3. Importance degrees have been specified on study of economic factors impact on the currency rate during several years.
  4. Importance degree of this or that indicator can vary depending on the market situation and market speculations.
  5. Possible impact on the currency rate shall mean most probable prices movement once the data are released. Some other prices behaviour is also possible.
  6. In the Note most important moments, which may have impact on the trader's decision, are specified.
 

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