Fundamental Analysis

Fundamental Analysis


for example, forex

Monday, 24 november 2008 years

Time (MSK) Country Period Index Forecast Previews Reading Importance Posible Impact
on the Currency Rate
12:00 GER
Германия
 Nov   IFO - Business Climate 88.7 90.2 2 Forecast: EUR →
Above forecast: EUR ↑
Below forecast: EUR ???
18:00 USA
США
 Oct  Existing Home Sales (NAR) 5.05M 5.18 mn 2 Forecast: USD →
Above forecast: USD ↑
Below forecast: USD ↓
1 — This index release may have no impact on the currency rate
2 — This index release may impact the currency during 1 session at most
3 — This index release may reveal daily, weekly or even monthly trends
→ — This index (positive) release will not impact the currency rate
↑ — This index (positive) release will trigger increase in the currency rate
↓ — This index (positive) release will trigger decrease in the currency rate
↓↓ — This index release may trigger abrupt fall of the currency rate
↑↑ — This index release (positive) may trigger abrupt rise of the currency rate
? — It is difficult to forecast price movement once the data are released (often it happens before releases of the Central banks communiques and economic reports (Beige Book (USA), Tankan (JAPAN), etc.)

Tuesday, 25 november 2008 years

Time (MSK) Country Period Index Forecast Previews Reading Importance Posible Impact
on the Currency Rate
12:30 GBR
Великобритания
 Oct  BBA Loans for House Purchase 23422 1 Forecast: GBP →
Above forecast: GBP ↑
Below forecast: GBP ↓
16:30 USA
США
 3Q-08  GDP (p) -0.5% -0.3% 3 Forecast: USD →
Above forecast: USD ↑
Below forecast: USD ↓
16:30 CAD
Канада
 Sep  Retail trade +0.4% -0.3% 2 Forecast: CAD →
Above forecast: CAD ↑
Below forecast: CAD ↓
17:00 USA
США
 Sep  S&P/Case-Shiller Composite-20 -16.9% -16.6% 2 Forecast: USD →
Above forecast: USD ↑
Below forecast: USD ↓
18:00 USA
США
 Nov  25-Nov 1000 Nov-08 Consumer Confidence (CB) 38.0 38.0 2 Forecast: USD →
Above forecast: USD ↑
Below forecast: USD ↓
1 — This index release may have no impact on the currency rate
2 — This index release may impact the currency during 1 session at most
3 — This index release may reveal daily, weekly or even monthly trends
→ — This index (positive) release will not impact the currency rate
↑ — This index (positive) release will trigger increase in the currency rate
↓ — This index (positive) release will trigger decrease in the currency rate
↓↓ — This index release may trigger abrupt fall of the currency rate
↑↑ — This index release (positive) may trigger abrupt rise of the currency rate
? — It is difficult to forecast price movement once the data are released (often it happens before releases of the Central banks communiques and economic reports (Beige Book (USA), Tankan (JAPAN), etc.)

Wednesday, 26 november 2008 years

Time (MSK) Country Period Index Forecast Previews Reading Importance Posible Impact
on the Currency Rate
12:30 GBR
Великобритания
 3Q-08  GDP 2nd Release -0.5% q/q, 0.3% y/y -0.5% q/q, 0.3% y/y 3 Forecast: GBP →
Above forecast: GBP ↓
Below forecast: GBP ↑
16:30 USA
США
 Oct  Personal Expenditures -1.0% +0.3% 2 Forecast: USD →
Above forecast: USD ↑
Below forecast: USD ↓
16:30 USA
США
 Oct  Durable Goods Orders -3.0% +0.9% 2 Forecast: USD ???
Above forecast: USD ↑
Below forecast: USD ↓
16:30 USA
США
 22-Nov  Jobless Claims 531K 542K 2 Forecast: USD →
Above forecast: USD ↑
Below forecast: USD ↓
17:15 GER
Германия
 Nov   HICP preliminary 1.7% 2.5% 2 Forecast: EUR →
Above forecast: EUR ↑
Below forecast: EUR ↓
17:45 USA
США
 Nov   Chicago Purchasers Index 37 37.8 2 Forecast: USD →
Above forecast: USD ↑
Below forecast: USD ↓
17:55 USA
США
 Nov   Consumer Sentiment (UM) 57.7 57.9 2 Forecast: USD →
Above forecast: USD ↑
Below forecast: USD ↓
18:00 USA
США
 Oct  New Home Sales 442К 464К 2 Forecast: USD ???
Above forecast: USD ↑
Below forecast: USD ↓
1 — This index release may have no impact on the currency rate
2 — This index release may impact the currency during 1 session at most
3 — This index release may reveal daily, weekly or even monthly trends
→ — This index (positive) release will not impact the currency rate
↑ — This index (positive) release will trigger increase in the currency rate
↓ — This index (positive) release will trigger decrease in the currency rate
↓↓ — This index release may trigger abrupt fall of the currency rate
↑↑ — This index release (positive) may trigger abrupt rise of the currency rate
? — It is difficult to forecast price movement once the data are released (often it happens before releases of the Central banks communiques and economic reports (Beige Book (USA), Tankan (JAPAN), etc.)

Thursday, 27 november 2008 years

Time (MSK) Country Period Index Forecast Previews Reading Importance Posible Impact
on the Currency Rate
00:45 NZD
Новая Зеландия
 Oct  Overseas Merchandise Trade -nzd1100M -nzd1183M 2 Forecast: NZD →
Above forecast: NZD ↑
Below forecast: NZD ↓
10:00 GBR
Великобритания
 Nov  Nationwide HPI -1.7% -1.4% 2 Forecast: GBP →
Above forecast: GBP ↑
Below forecast: GBP ↓
11:55 GER
Германия
 Oct  Unemployment Rate 7.5% 7.5% 1 Forecast: EUR →
Above forecast: EUR ↑
Below forecast: EUR ↓
N/A USA
США
   Thanksgiving Day (markets closed ) 3 Forecast: USD →
Above forecast: USD ???
Below forecast: USD ???
1 — This index release may have no impact on the currency rate
2 — This index release may impact the currency during 1 session at most
3 — This index release may reveal daily, weekly or even monthly trends
→ — This index (positive) release will not impact the currency rate
↑ — This index (positive) release will trigger increase in the currency rate
↓ — This index (positive) release will trigger decrease in the currency rate
↓↓ — This index release may trigger abrupt fall of the currency rate
↑↑ — This index release (positive) may trigger abrupt rise of the currency rate
? — It is difficult to forecast price movement once the data are released (often it happens before releases of the Central banks communiques and economic reports (Beige Book (USA), Tankan (JAPAN), etc.)

Friday, 28 november 2008 years

Time (MSK) Country Period Index Forecast Previews Reading Importance Posible Impact
on the Currency Rate
02:50 JP
Япония
 Oct  Pre Industrial Output -2.5% +1.1% 2 Forecast: JPY ???
Above forecast: JPY ↑
Below forecast: JPY ↓
02:50 JP
Япония
 Oct  Retail Sales -0.4% 2 Forecast: JPY →
Above forecast: JPY ↑
Below forecast: JPY ↓
13:00 EU
Еврозона
 Oct  Euro-Zone Unemployment Rate 7.6% 7.5% 3 Forecast: EUR →
Above forecast: EUR ↓
Below forecast: EUR ↑
16:30 CAD
Канада
 3Q-2008  Current Account (BOP) $5.1B $6.8B 3 Forecast: CAD →
Above forecast: CAD ↑
Below forecast: CAD ↓
16:30 CAD
Канада
 Oct  Industrial product prices -1.5% m/m -1.2% m/m, +8.0% y/y 2 Forecast: CAD →
Above forecast: CAD ↑
Below forecast: CAD ↓
1 — This index release may have no impact on the currency rate
2 — This index release may impact the currency during 1 session at most
3 — This index release may reveal daily, weekly or even monthly trends
→ — This index (positive) release will not impact the currency rate
↑ — This index (positive) release will trigger increase in the currency rate
↓ — This index (positive) release will trigger decrease in the currency rate
↓↓ — This index release may trigger abrupt fall of the currency rate
↑↑ — This index release (positive) may trigger abrupt rise of the currency rate
? — It is difficult to forecast price movement once the data are released (often it happens before releases of the Central banks communiques and economic reports (Beige Book (USA), Tankan (JAPAN), etc.)

Note:

  1. Readings above the forecast are those readings, which are mathematically more than the forecast (e.g. 5%is more than 4.3% and -49 is more than -51).
    Readings below the forecast are readings, which are mathematically less than the forecast (e.g. 4.1% is less than 4.3% and -60 is less than -51).
  2. Fundamental analysis is purely informational purpose only. It always consists of several possible trends.
  3. Importance degrees have been specified on study of economic factors impact on the currency rate during several years.
  4. Importance degree of this or that indicator can vary depending on the market situation and market speculations.
  5. Possible impact on the currency rate shall mean most probable prices movement once the data are released. Some other prices behaviour is also possible.
  6. In the Note most important moments, which may have impact on the trader's decision, are specified.
 

  December  
Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun week
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 49
8 9 10 11 12 13 14 50
15 16 17 18 19 20 21 51
22 23 24 25 26 27 28 52
29 30 31         1
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